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Shōgun

JILI SLOTS · STRATEGY

Shōgun Strategy

幕府将军

Win frequencyrareoftenWin frequency: level 3 of 5: middling
SwingcalmwildSwing: level 5 of 5: very wild

Swing 5/5, win frequency 3/5
Suggested play: Flat betting
Finishes ahead more often (about 6 in 10), but runs longer and loses more over time

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Shōgun has a win frequency of 3/5 and a swing of 5/5, very high swing.Every number here was measured on the real game engine. High swing means long, deep dry spells, so a doubling ladder rarely survives to the recovery hit and its edge disappears. Flat betting is the pick here.
Flat finishes ahead in about 6 sessions in 10, at the cost of roughly 197 spins per session.

Straight up: no staking plan beats the house edge, both plans carry a negative expectation.
What this page gives you is a clear view of the trade you are making: how often you win against how much you win.

How the play is decided

Swing 5/5. Our rule: swing 1–2 favours Martingale, 3–4 works either way, 5 favours flat betting, the higher the swing, the smaller the edge doubling gives you. Across every game here the rule holds 91% of the time.

A swing of 5/5 is the top band: the payouts concentrate into a few spins and the stretches between run long and deep. A doubling ladder usually runs out before the recovery hit, which erases its edge, so flat betting is the pick.

Swing is not good or bad, it describes rhythm: the higher it is, the more the big wins bunch into a few spins and the quieter the rest. A denser win frequency means small returns arrive more often, so you last longer through the dry stretches.

The two plans, measured side by side

Same game, same bankroll and same stops (1000 to start, 3 per spin, stop at +10%, stop-loss at −30%). The only difference is whether you raise the stake after a loss. The stopping rules must match or the win rates cannot be compared, that is where most strategy sites go wrong.

MartingaleFlat betting
Sessions ending ahead37%56%
When you win+51%+20%
When you lose−33%−30%
Average loss per session1721
Spins per session24197

Flat betting finishes ahead more often (56% vs 37%),
but it loses 4 more per session on average (flat 21, Martingale 17, on a bankroll of 1000).
Want to win often? Flat. Want to lose less? Martingale.

  • Want to lose less overall and win big when you win → Martingale
  • Want to finish ahead often and play longer → flat betting

How to play it (using the demo 1000)

Martingale

Start with 1000Base bet 3 (0.3% of bankroll)
Play 5 spins, same stakeNo changes inside a group
Balance reached 1100?Take-profit +10%
YesStop and walk awayThis session is a win
No ↓
Balance dropped to 700?Stop-loss −30%
YesStop the loss and leaveCome back another day
No ↓
Did this group reach a new high?
YesBack to the base bet of 3Start counting again
No ↓
Double the stake for the next group3 → 6 → 12 → 24 …

↻ Back to 'play 5 spins'. It settles in about 24 spins on average

Flat betting

  1. Start with 1000 and a base bet of 3 (0.3% of the bankroll).
  2. Never change the stake, not even after a loss.
  3. Up 10% → take it and stop.
  4. Down 30% → stop the loss and leave. Expect around 197 spins; patience is part of the plan.
Sessions ending ahead
56%
When you win
+20%
When you lose
−30%

↑ Every number measured on the real game engine over tens of thousands of sessions.

A flat session runs about 197 spins with the stake never changing.
Playing longer has a price: the house edge is charged on total stake, so although flat betting finishes ahead more often, its expected loss per session is the larger of the two. The value here is the one big free-game payout, not frequent small wins.

A high win rate is not profit, read this part

Flat betting finishes ahead more often (56% vs 37%),
but it loses 21 per session on average, against Martingale's 17 (on a bankroll of 1000).
That is because flat runs 197 spins, and the house edge is charged on total stake.
The two plans trade how often you win against how much you win.
Neither turns the expectation positive.
Anyone promising you a staking plan that profits is lying to you.

Play Shōgun free →

Run the plan with demo credits first and check you can hold the stop-loss before playing for real.

Common questions

Can I play Shōgun for free?

Yes, no signup, no deposit. Use the demo credits above to learn its rhythm and how the free games trigger.

Should I use Martingale or flat betting on Shōgun?

It depends what you want: flat betting finishes ahead more often (56% measured), while Martingale wins less often (37%) but takes home +51% when it does. At swing 5/5, our pick is Flat betting.

Is Shōgun suitable for beginners?

Win frequency 3/5, swing 5/5. Keep bets small (0.3%) and hold the stop-loss. Higher swing means longer dry spells, demanding more patience and more bankroll.

Does Martingale make money in the long run?

No. It reshapes wins and losses, fewer wins, bigger ones, less time exposed, but expectation stays negative. A deep bankroll buys survival through dry spells, not a guaranteed win.

Read next · play something else

①Understand the play first

②Other games with similar swing

③Change of pace: lower-swing games

④Play this one

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This page explains play and bankroll management. It is not a promise of profit.
Gambling carries risk. Play within your means and set a stop-loss.

18+ only. Gambling carries risk. Please play within your means. This is a free demo site and involves no real money.

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